Daten zum Q4 GDP .....

[Ralph]

WEAK GDP GIVES FED YET ONE MORE REASON TO BE AGGRESSIVE

Q4 PCE DEFLATOR UP 2.2%, CORE UP 2%

Q4 NON-RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT DOWN 1.5%, WORST SINCE Q4 1991

Q4 CAPITAL SPENDING DOWN 4.7% VS. GAIN OF 5.6% IN Q3

WEAK GDP GIVES FED YET ONE MORE REASON TO BE AGGRESSIVE

Q4 CONSUMER SPENDING UP 2.9% VS. 4.5% IN Q3

Q4 PCE DEFLATOR UP 2.2%, CORE UP 2%

Q4 SLOWDOWN DUE TO DECLINING CAPITAL SPENDING, CONSUMER DURABLES

Q4 NON-RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT DOWN 1.5%, WORST SINCE Q4 1991

2000 GDP UP 5%, BEST SINCE 1984'S 7.3%

Q4 CAPITAL SPENDING DOWN 4.7% VS. GAIN OF 5.6% IN Q3

Q4 GDP 1.4% VS. 2.2% EXPECTED, SLOWEST SINCE Q2 1995

Q4 CONSUMER SPENDING UP 2.9% VS. 4.5% IN Q3

Q4 SLOWDOWN DUE TO DECLINING CAPITAL SPENDING, CONSUMER DURABLES

2000 GDP UP 5%, BEST SINCE 1984'S 7.3%

Q4 GDP 1.4% VS. 2.2% EXPECTED, SLOWEST SINCE Q2 1995

Ralph

[Ralph]

Economic Growth Slowed More Sharply Than Forecast in Fourth Quarter
By TSC Staff

1/31/01 8:39 AM ET


The latest report of the gross domestic product shows the economy grew more slowly than expected in the fourth quarter.

GDP, as the report is known, was up 1.4% in the last quarter of 2000, according to preliminary results released this morning. This is the smallest gain since the second quarter of 1995. Economists had expected GDP to increase 1.9%, compared to the 2.2% pace in the third quarter of 2000.

Gross domestic product measures the change in the market value of goods, services and structures produced in the economy. The release also includes a key inflation measure called the price index for gross domestic purchases. It
measures the prices of everything -- including imports -- that Americans buy. Personal consumption expenditures typically account for roughly 68% of GDP. Investment, government spending and net exports account for the rest. Economists were projecting the implicit price deflator to rise to 2.0% from 1.6% in the third quarter. The lower the GDP and inflation numbers are, the more aggressive the Fed is likely to be with interest rates.

Other data released today include the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for January, out at 10:00 a.m.-- which is expected to fall to 43.7 from 44.2. The Chicago PMI is seen as a good gauge of what to expect from the National Purchasing Manager's Index (definition | chart | source) , which comes out a few days later. This number signals factory-sector expansion when it is above 50 and contraction when below it. It has been declining in the past few months.

TheStreet.com's David Gaffen took a look at what comes next for the markets after the Fed announces its decision about interest-rates when its meeting concludes this afternoon. This GDP report bodes well for a significant rate cut since it shows the economy needs more of a jump start.

Consumer confidence levels have been dropping along with data that shows the economy slowing. Wall Street expects that Mr. Greenspan and his band of merry men will cut interest rates by 50 basis points today in an attempt to
alleviate the pain of an ailing economy.

8:30 a.m.: Gross domestic product for Q4-advance. Source: Commerce Department . Actual: 1.4%. Forecast: +1.9%. Previous: +2.2% (Q3). Implicit price deflator: Actual: 2.2%. Forecast: +2.0% Previous: +1.6% (Q3).

Ralph

[Silke]

und was nu?????

http://www.stock-channel.net/Board/smilies/confused.gifjetzt sind wir auch nicht schlauer oder?http://www.stock-channel.net/Board/smilies/confused.gif

Doch ein bißchen - wir werden doch keine Rezession sehen - wie es aussieht. Denn das würde bedeuten zwei aufeinanderfolgende Quartale ein Minuswachstum!

mal warten
MM

[Ralph]

Ich kann es nicht glauben, aber die Amis rechnen tatsächlich mit 75 BP .... anders ist das heute nicht zu erklären !

Ralph

[Gast_B]

Und es gibt Amis die davon reden, dass wenn heute "nur" 50 Basispunkte gesenkt wird, es zwei Wochen später eine weitere (außerplanmäßige) Zinssenkung um nochmal 50 Basispunkte geben wird.

Hehe, die Amis scheinen sich zu fühlen wie an Weihnachten kurz vor der Bescherung http://www.stock-channel.net/Board/smilies/biggrin.gif Ob das mal gut geht!

[TotalStock]

Hi Leute,

hm schauen wir mal den NAZ Chart von 1995 an... was folgte anschließend... wenn das BIP so schlecht wie 1995 ist... aber wer sagt den das wir uns wirklich schon im Tief befinden...

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Make a good one.
TotalStock