Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
Breaking: Ireland votes No to Lisbon Treaty
Irish voters plunge Europe into fresh constitutional crisis and give their leaders a major headache in referendum upset
Warum die Iren den Europa- Vertrag ablehnten
Die Iren haben Nein gesagt zur EU-Reform, so wie Millionen Europäer das wohl auch getan hätten - wenn man sie denn gefragt hätte. Das Votum gilt dem Vertrag und dem europäischen Integrationsprojekt insgesamt. Das sollte der politischen Elite in Brüssel und anderswo zu denken geben. Von Sebastian Borger, London mehr... [ Forum ]
Merkel und Sarkozy wollen Europakurs fortsetzen
Die Iren haben den EU-Vertrag abgeschmettert, doch Kanzlerin Merkel und Frankreichs Staatschef Sarkozy wollen das Projekt EU nicht aufgeben - sie forderten die Mitgliedstaaten auf, den Ratifizierungsprozess fortzusetzen. Kommissionspräsident Barroso beschwor, das Nein sei "kein Votum gegen die EU". mehr... [ Forum ]
Geändert von lunar (13.06.2008 um 19:05 Uhr).
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
BIS Quarterly Review, June 2008
Overview: a cautious return of risk tolerance
Following deepening turmoil and rising concerns about systemic risks in the first two weeks of March, financial markets witnessed a cautious return of investor risk tolerance over the remainder of the period to end-May 2008. The process of disorderly deleveraging which had started in 2007 intensified from end-February, with asset markets becoming increasingly illiquid and valuations plunging to levels implying severe stress. However, markets subsequently rebounded in the wake of repeated central bank action and the Federal Reserve-facilitated takeover of a large US investment bank. In sharp contrast to these favourable developments, interbank money markets failed to recover, as liquidity demand remained elevated.I wish I was on the committee writing this report. It would not have come out in this fashion. These reports are like watching people trying to count and track a bunch of ping pong balls falling from the balcony above while ignoring a bunch of huge bowling balls crashing through the floor. They can be quite correct about the trajectory and velocity of the ping pong balls but totally clueless about the heft and destruction of the bowling balls! I suspect this is two fold: the BIS staff desperately want to believe that the floating currency/international debt systems are not fundamentally flawed and ready to crash like they did from 1933-1945. No, they want the BIS system to work, damn it.
Also, they want to please their bosses. These bosses want the system to work because it makes them rich. Hearing about flaws or terrible, screwed up trajectories is unpleasant. And we know that the messenger bearing bad tidings gets executed. For example, the above opening paragraphs of this latest report mentions 'emerging market assets...performe broadly...'---this is a reference to the surge in speculators pouring all their funds into commodity markets! Question: was this a good sign or a terrifying signal?
The BIS writers admit that this performance in the commodity markets has 'shifted...concerns...to...inflation.' Well, duh! Welcome to reality! I suppose the writers of this report are counting their pfennings and wondering how they will make ends meet. Does this motivate them to meditate on the topic as to how all wild lending periods end with massive inflation taking root in all commodities while the value of assets that normally rise in inflation, collapse in value? Does this report anywhere, mention the dread words, 'stagflation' or heaven help us, 'depression'?
Of course not! Nor does this report mention 'trade deficits in America' and the US budget deficits. Or a lot of important things. Nor do they chat about the rise and fall of empires. Nor is Iran mentioned at all. Certainly, the costs of the global boycott of Iran's oil and how this helped trigger a collapse of international banking and trade is also not mentioned. The US housing collapse is mentioned but thankfully, it is not blamed for being the cause. I do appreciate that tiny, itty bitty honesty.
Thankfully, this BIS report is filled with graphs. Here is an example:
The numbers on the right are insane. We are not looking at spreads of these assets that are 160 points apart, they are 16,000 points apart! All the numbers here are totally insane. They really mean that the fiction of these ABX instruments being anything useful or reasonable is false. The ABX market has gone totally haywire and off the cliff and basically, has crashed. To admit this means admitting to vast losses within the banking system. So they pretend there is still some tiny value to these 16,000 basis point spread flophouses.
Below is yet another chart from this report:
Monolines have been in the news lately. They are dying, too. They are actually rather on the dead side more than the living. But since they are only at a 800 basis point spread, this isn't considered to be too horrid. We can see the spread is widening, not narrowing. The North American and European banks have this huge jump in the spread, too, from January to March with the crest being right where Bears Stearns gave up the ghost. The US System went crazy trying to fix this hike in the spread and sort of succeeded. But to fix it required destroying what little reserves the Federal Reserve holds. Far from the banking system being set to rights, we can see it is going off the cliff. The Fed has saved, sort of, only one aspect and this, the 'public' parts, not the parts that can grind down our economic system into dust.
....and much more: http://elainemeinelsupkis.typepad.com/money_matters/
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary - http://www.jsmineset.com/
Here lies the greatest problem for humanity and the biggest surprise to markets.
Pakistan, Iran discuss economic framework
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and Iran discussed institutional economic framework of their respective countries here on Thursday.
Maa'shallah Shakri, Iranian Ambassador to Pakistan called on Syed Naveed Qamar Federal Minister for Finance, Privatisation and Investment. The minister apprised the Iranian Ambassador about government of Pakistan's pre-budget preparations and post-budget legislative debate in the Parliament along with other development related economic initiatives.
The finance minister stated that Pakistan was currently passing through the most challenging time since the democratic government took over and special measures are underway to reform the national economy. staff report
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
...steht zwar auch schon im Gold-Abteil, ist aber so gut
Posted On: Friday, June 13, 2008, 1:48:00 PM EST
Hourly Action In Gold From Trader Dan
Author: Dan Norcini
The CONSTANT Price Index was released this morning and showed a 0.6% gain for May. Pundits were looking for 0.5%. The year over year rate on the headline number was 4.2%. The spinmeisters immediately went to work triumphantly exclaiming how "mild" the CORE reading was which came in at an annualized rate of a mere 2.3%. You know, that is the number that excludes everything that people really have no need of in life such as food and energy and spend ZERO % of their disposable income on.
Why my goodness - that news should completely put to rest any murmurings on the part of the authorities whatsoever about the role we "evil" speculators have had in pushing prices so high. If that wasn't enough good news, the U of M consumer sentiment index fell to 56.7 in June from 59.8 in May. Stocks did their usual thing with traders bidding prices higher on the wonderful reports which were topped off by falling crude oil prices in the session. All that is missing from this parade of happiness is James Brown's old song, "I FEEL GOOD".
Folks - I know I have said this many times before but I honestly believe that this generation of investors in the US is absolutely the most ignorant group of unthinking clods that God's green earth has ever managed to produce. To think that there are enough people who actually believe the government's worthless CPI numbers and act on that belief by bidding stocks higher on the notion that such tame readings take the urgency off of the Fed to hike rates makes me tremble for the future of my nation. What do we have - the Fed ramping up M3 by something like 14% or even higher on an annual basis and these bozos are stupid enough to think that rising prices are not going to follow as surely as the sun rises in the East? Are these mind-numbed zombies incapable of seeing what is going on around them? I am beginning to wonder if some of these folks ever go out into the real world and leave their quote screens. They might learn something if they did!
The U.S. markets have become nothing but a bundled mass of contradictions. On the one hand we have the Forex guys bidding up the Dollar because Bernanke is going to hike rates (or so they believe). On the other hand we have the equity guys bidding up stocks because they assert that Bernanke WILL NOT hike rates because the CPI number is so tame. The bond guys are so bewildered that they are wandering aimlessly around the pit in circles not knowing who or what to believe. Meanwhile, fair weather friends of gold are boldly proclaiming the demise of the yellow metal’s bull run (they always do this whenever we enter the summer months) based on the notion that the Fed is going to hike and kill off inflation. These are the same guys who have their own special pair of CNBC glasses, complete with fancy carrying case, that makes them believe their own nonsense and renders the wearer incapable of seeing a $trillion-dollar-plus-derivatives sword of Damocles hanging over their head.
This is what happens when you get nothing but misleading statistics, jawboning, spin and price manipulation. And to think that this is the "efficient" price discovery mechanism at its finest! I do not know about you, but sometimes I wish we would scrap the whole thing and go back to the barter system! At least it would be honest and we would not have to deal with the yapping dogs from the Fed or the pencil pushing bureaucrats who have found computers much more to their liking seeing the ease with which they can change numbers if they do not like the end result.
“Say John, that food number looks a bit too high in the May report you are working on. See what you can do about that”. “No problem Boss, let me just hit the delete key and clear that out”. Now, what was the number you wanted this report to say again”. Okay – give me a couple of minutes and I will fix it for you”.
Incidentally, soymeal, the product made from crushing soybeans, hit a 35 year high in price in today’s session. Corn put in yet another all time high as well. But not to worry – such things don’t count because it is not in the “core”. It is only the folks who have to feed livestock and poultry, you know, the protein sources in our diet, who need be concerned about that stuff.
Meanwhile, gold is engaged in quite a titanic struggle. It managed to claw its way back from support near yesterday’s low which came in at the 860 level. That is all the more remarkable considering that this is taking place with a “NO” vote coming from Ireland on the EU reform treaty which put pressure on the Euro this morning as well as with weakness in crude and in the products.
Keep in mind folks that seasonally, the early summer months are not normally a strong time for gold. It tends to top out in May, move lower into June or July and then stabilize as it builds a base before moving higher in August and continuing to move higher into the end of the year. The best way to use such seasonal tendencies is to see whether or not a market is following its normal pattern or is moving in a contrary fashion. Any market that refuses to move lower during a period in which it historically tends to move lower is by definition a strong market. Contrarily, any market which does not move higher during a period in which it tends to move higher is by definition a weak market. If gold can hold above major support near $850 and maintain that level or higher for the next 6 weeks or so, it will prove to be most revealing. If it does not and moves down below that level, it will only be doing what seasonally it normally does anyway. Those who therefore predict the end of the bull market in gold during a period of seasonal weakness are betraying a great deal of ignorance about markets in general. Either that or they are too damned lazy to study price patterns.
The mining shares have thus far stubbornly refused to break down in today’s session. This is forcing some of the opportunistic shorts to cover. GG put in a potential bullish hammer bottoming formation yesterday. Today it has so far found willing buyers at and just below the low of that hammer formation which is encouraging but we are not out of the woods yet as there remains plenty of time left in the session. A positive close today would be quite significant technically. Bulls need to assert themselves to keep any advantage they are attempting to secure and to not squander their efforts.
Yield on the Ten Year Note is all over the place this morning. It has been as high as 4.32% and as low as 4.17%. Discombobulated is the word that comes to my mind that can best be used to describe the poor Treasury market participants.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
@Eldo ...bin ja sonst nicht unbedingt ein Mahendra Fan - hier finde ich ihn hoffe, dass der letzte Abschnitt nicht so eintrifft
"Imagination is more important than knowledge.
Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world."
-Albert Einstein (1879-1955)
Today I would like to begin by speaking about the world market and the economy.
We have previously talked about the three major revolutions, which brought the world to where we now stand. Though we seem to be in a confusing stage in which there are several transformations occurring together, we can at least agree that capitalism is a dominant part of this era. In the last 150 years, we have moved from “Agriculture” to “Industrialization” and to the “Technology Revolution”. We are now in a different era of capitalism where financial market cycles have complete domination and playing a key role in world economy and it future. The current era is also marked by an absence of fear for authority, as well as a lack of integrity and sense of responsibility; in a word, this is despotism. This despotism is gradually but completely taking control of the world economy and it is extremely difficult to know if we shall carry on, or indeed, if we are fit to survive. After the agricultural, industrial and technological revolutions, the question is whether the current financial wheel shall be able to serve the more than 6 Billion people. As far as I can see, financial policy makers and politicians have abdicated their responsibilities and they are steering the world towards greed and uncertainty.
The era of capitalism has created a bubble that makes the rich richer while the middle class continue to battle against higher living costs (which inflated by this richer group for their own benefits) to an extent of being unable to cope, thanks to the effects of rising inflation. Following the technology burst 2000, there was widespread uncertainty in the financial market, which drove powerful people to create a bubble in real estate by providing easy cash. Financial institutions and lenders began to change tact when they saw the crunch coming; and we witnessed interest rate cuts while the Federal Reserve began to dish money to financial institutions in order to stem the uncertainty but still situation is out of control. However, the low interest rates seemed not to make enough money for them and they devised ways and means of making quick bucks to cover loses and this gave birth to greed. As a result of this new born greed among the hedge funds and financial institutions herded together to bet against each other as though they were in a casino, the strongest taking away the spoils but one thing they are forgetting that they are in casino or they are gambling. Behind this game, there is an easy access to cash, thanks to the fed providing the means to gamble and create a historic bubble of inflation. Indeed, this explains why financial and banking stocks have been losing value because real money is away in gambling. The situation is very scary and I don’t know how many will come with real money from these casino or gambling room and in future where these powerful people will play once the current bubble bursts, or will new gaming room will be created for this people by policy maker.
Today the common man is fighting a vicious war for survival; a worse war than the one in Iraq. For instance, People do not know up to what price people are willing or will be able to pay to fill their cars with gas. The choice confronting people now is whether to first buy gold or get food for their children. Many do not know what instrument shall be used in the future to provide better financial security for the people. Though I do not have many answers today, I see for sure that the people’s purchasing power will drop very drastically in the next three months and a sudden depression or deflation will result, but this will be short-lived. I am naturally a very optimistic person and I see the world riding through and continuing well despite the ups and downs.
My most nagging worry has nothing to do with the USA, but with China, India and Europe. My prediction is that within the next three months, the GDPs of China and India will drop substantially and it will be too late by the time the rest of the world realises. Consequently, I urge that one be very cautious about where you place your money. The truth is that the USA still holds 61% of the world’s economy and if anything goes wrong with it or there is a further fall of the dollar, the world’s economy will soon be on its knees. The growth story will be finished and people China and India will talk about how to survive because burst of GDP growth. As I have said, I am an optimistic person and I see the world moving ahead despite the various ups and downs. Indeed, I am certain that the USA and the USD will survive in coming most uncertain period, but I am not so sure about Europe and some countries in Asia. If there is drought, all vegetation affected as the existing one wilts and dries, while growth of new vegetation cannot occur. Only big plants or those specially adapted can withstand and survive the effects of prolonged drought till the following rainy season. Such is the situation in the market as this analogy of the natural cycle of life is still applicable to our situation. I therefore hope that you find some answers and act accordingly.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
14.06.2008, 17:47 #2134
Registriert seit: 11.01.2005
EURO vor dem AUS?
Samstag, 14. Juni 2008
Nach NEIN der Iren nun Abstimmung per Geldschein. Immer mehr Deutsche akzeptieren keine Euros aus den Süd-Staaten. Herkunftsland der Euro-Scheine erkennbar am Buchstaben-Code.
Immer mehr Deutsche befürchten eine Euro - Krise in Zukunft. Deshalb verweigern sie die Annahme von Euro-Noten aus Italien, Spanien, Griechenland und Portugal. Hintergrund:
Wissenswertes zu Geldscheinen
Die Anfangsbuchstaben der Seriennummern geben das Herkunftsland an.
Die Vorderseiten zeigen als Motiv ein Fenster oder eine Fensterfront, die Rückseiten jeweils eine Brücke. Dabei sind keine realen Bauwerke abgebildet, sondern es wurden die Stilmerkmale der einzelnen Epochen eingebracht:
Klassik auf dem 5-Euro-Schein
Romanik auf dem 10-Euro-Schein
Gotik auf dem 20-Euro-Schein
Renaissance auf dem 50-Euro-Schein
Barock und Rokoko auf dem 100-Euro-Schein
Eisen- und Glasarchitektur auf dem 200-Euro-Schein
Moderne Architektur des 20. Jahrhunderts auf dem 500-Euro-Schein
Die Banknoten wurden nach einem EU-weiten Wettbewerb vom Österreicher Robert Kalina gestaltet und weisen verschiedene moderne Sicherheitsmerkmale auf, um die Fälschung zu erschweren. Eine Besonderheit ist das Counterfeit Deterrence System (CDS), welches das Reproduzieren auf Kopiergeräten oder per PC verhindern soll.
Zum 1. Januar 2002 wurden 14,8899 Milliarden Euro-Banknoten hergestellt
Ein 100 Euro schein. Oben rechts die Serien-Nummer. Davor steht ein "L" - Dieser Schein kommt also aus Finnland.
Geändert von lunar (15.06.2008 um 11:41 Uhr).
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
Has anyone been listening to
-> Posted by AuGirl @ 10:54 am on June 14, 2008
Jim Puplava’s “Crime of the Century” series on naked short selling? He says he was flooded with responses when part 1 was aired..Quote :
“People are saying ya know now I understand what is going on with my junior mining stocks. I could not understand when a company increased it reserves or reported incredible drill results why the stock would sell down.”
DOES THAT SOUND FAMILIAR TO ANYONE?
He talks about the techniques investment banks and hedge funds use to manipulate stock prices eg ; they will carpet bomb short the stock and naked short it to drive the price down just prior to a financing..Also, collusion between offshore entities to keep the counterfeit shares off the books..When you short a stock you have a certain amount days to cover and if not covered it will show up as a failure to deliver on the reg sho list.. BUT these entities will also play musical chairs with the shares, swapping between each other to cover and it just gets moved around and around..Says billions of these counterfeit shares are hidden in offshore accounts..
Looks like Sinclair might have to increase his $50 K reward bigtime LOL.I hope there’s a special place in he$$ reserved just for these bastages.
This is part 3 : (part 4 today)
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
...ursprünglich gung es hier um Jason Hommel - Silber - naked Shorts - Antol Fekete - Ted Butler usw. usw., ich finde diese Antwort lesenswert - zeigt sie doch einige "scary" Möglichkeiten auf
Fekete Questions Me, & Why Banning Usury Won't Work
(Fekete vs. Hommel on Basis vs. Usury)
Silver Stock Report
by Jason Hommel, June 14th, 2008
Antal Fekete was kind enough to respond to my last email, "Silver Shorts are so Naked, they've "Gone Wild", which was actually a response to his article, which was a response to my claims and Ted Butler's claims and others claims that many or most people who have promised silver for delivery probably don't have the silver to deliver. Fekete's direct response has enough good questions for a solid interview or debate. For the sake of clarity, below is the full text of his email. Below that, I will publish his email again, with my responses in between, in italics, starting with "Jason: " Finally, at the end, I have an essay that I had not previously published, that is important to publish at this time, called:
"Why Banning Usury Won't Work".
To: Jason Hommel
Re: Primer on Usury, Silver Stock Report, June 12, 2008.
Date: June 14, 2008.
Thank you for your civil rejoinder to my piece Putting Loin-Cloth on the Naked Bogeyman. I welcome this opportunity for a high level discussion on the basis. Please consider this as my acceptance of your challenge. I am looking forward to this debate and I am willing to abide by the verdict of an informed public opinion beforehand, even if it rules against my position. But before a debate, it seems to me, some clarification of your position will be necessary.
You condemn silver basis trading as „usury” in no uncertain terms. It would logically follow that trading the corn basis is also „usury”. And so is selling corn futures contracts with the intention of liquidating the commitment before expiry by purchasing an offsetting futures contract. Furthermore, lending silver at any other than zero interest is usury. Would you agree?
The meaning of the word „usury” has gone through many a significant change since Biblical times. To a large extent, Protestantism has triumphed over the Catholic Church in the 16th century thanks to its relaxed view of usury. Even the arch-conservatives of the Church reversed themselves, somewhat belatedly, in the 19th century, when they instructed confessors not to disturb penitents who admit to charging or paying ”reasonable” interest. Earlier, the scholastic fathers were way ahead of their contemporaries when they deemed discount on commercial bills of exchange as conceptually very different from interest and, as such, admissible. Foreign exchange trading was generally exempted from charges of usury, and provided a handy loophole to people wanting to escape from the clutches of the Inquisition. A clever way to get around canonical and secular prohibition of mortgage interest in the Middle Ages was the „rent charge contract”, under which the right to rental income from land holdings and buildings could be bought and sold without disturbing ownership. Religious orders prospered through trading rent charges.
There are other grey areas. For example, if silver is used in a profitable enterprise, but is withdrawn by the owner in order to lend it to a friend in need, there is an opportunity loss. Is the asking for compensation an instance of usury? Or another: is it usury if a doctor charges his patient for therapy involving silver?
Another area also needs clarification. Obviously, you are very vocal in your criticism of the short interest in the futures markets, while your criticism of the long interest is muted or non-existent. As you know, a debate is raging in Washington about the immorality of the long positions in energy and food-related futures contracts (see Reference below). Your wholesale condemnation of the futures markets will not solve the problem. Although it would put you in the same boat with Senator Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut, but don't forget, he may next propose legislation to check the activities of people who own more than, say, 100 ounces of silver. He could blame silver investors for the collapse of the dollar and, as such, silver hoarding could be declared against public policy.
Finally, I have just been reading an interesting news item in a British daily, reporting that European airlines could weather the supply-shock of aviation fuel better than their American counterparts, because they have been trading the oil basis. The article mentions Lufthansa by name as one airline which has put on hedges covering 80 percent of its fuel needs, and right now is flying its planes on oil costing only $70 per barrel, or about one half of the going price. In comparison, American airlines have hedged an average of 20 percent of their needs only. Question: is Lufthansa guilty of usury?
I am respectfully asking you to post this letter on your Silver Stock Report.
Thank you for your cheerful cooperation. With friendly greetings,
Yours very sincerely,
Antal E. Fekete
Gold Standard University Live
Reference. A Bull Market Sees the Worst in Speculators, by Diana B. Henriques, NYT June 12, 2008.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
Originally Posted by goldberg
Dear GIMers, Looks like a lot of Americans don't even know the the Fed is not US government owned. Can anybody give me the links and who the major owners are so I can share it to my American friends who up until now are clueless on what's happening. Thanks.
The Fed does not have owners, just as OPEC and NATO do not have owners. There are banks that own shares in the Fed. However, the shares have no voting rights, and profit on the shares is capped by law at 6% per annum on the nominal value of the shares. All profits in excess of 6% of capitalization goes to the US Treasury.
A central banking system is a strange duck, sort of like a cartel, but not exactly.
BTW, the 6% cap used to be lower - in the fours - I don't remember the exact number. There is also a law that's to go into effect in a couple of years, or sooner if the banks get their way, that will have the Fed pay the member banks interest on the reserves they have on deposit at the Fed. Because it will not be included in the 6% figure, that interest money will in effect be paid out of the US Treasury.
Actually, shareholders in the Fed do have rights. They elect the directors of the regional Fed Banks.
David Rockefeller is a class A director of the NY Fed. This means that he was elected by the shareholding banks. David Rockefeller was chairman of JP Morgan for 20-something years. JP Morgan recieved $30B in money from the NY Fed in order to buy out Bear Stearns -- JP Morgan then used Bear Stearns to borrow another $30B. Any person with no financial interest in the situation would have just lent $30B to Bear Stearns in the first place -- but then again, the directors of the Fed banks DO have a financial interest, since they are elected by the shareholding banks.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
...aus Trader's Daily
Ein landesweiter politischer Stromausfall
von Dr. Marc Faber
Auch wenn ich nicht immer mit den Ansichten des Kolumnisten Thomas Friedman übereinstimme, so muss ich doch seiner Kritik der amerikanischen Energiepolitik in jeder Hinsicht zustimmen. In einem seiner jüngsten Beiträge, mit dem Titel „Die Energie, ernst zu sein" nimmt er Hilary Clinton und John McCain in die Verantwortung, weil sie vorgeschlagen haben, dass die Bundesabgabe auf Benzin in diesem Sommer ausgesetzt werden soll.
Laut Friedman ist es „großartig zu sehen, dass wir Amerikaner doch endlich in einer Hinsicht Einigkeit bei der Energiepolitik des Landes erleben. Dummerweise ist die Idee, die zur Einigkeit führt, so lächerlich, so unwürdig derer, die anstreben die USA anzuführen, dass es einem den Atem raubt."
"Hillary Clinton hat sich dazu durchgerungen, sich hinter John McCain zu stellen, bei dem Versuch, durchzusetzen, dass die Bundesabgabe für Benzin in der Höhe von 18,4 Cent pro Gallone, während der Reisezeit im Sommer ausgesetzt wird. Das ist keine Energiepolitik. Das ist Geldwäsche: Wir Amerikaner leihen Geld von China und verschiffen es nach Saudi-Arabien und nehmen einen kleinen Anteil für uns selbst, während es durch unsere Benzintanks fließt. Was ist das für eine Möglichkeit, ein Land aufzubauen."
Wenn der Sommer dann vorbei sein wird, dann werden wir unsere Schulden gegenüber China erhöht haben. Der Transfer von Wohlstand nach Saudi Arabien wird zugenommen haben und auch unsere Beiträge zur Klimaerwärmung, die wir dann an unsere Kinder weitervererben werden.
Nein, nein, nein, wir bekommen einfach das Geld, indem wir das Große Öl besteuern, sagte Clinton. Doch selbst wenn das möglich wäre, dann wäre es eine schreckliche Möglichkeit, wertvolle Steuerdollar auszugeben - indem man diese auf dem Weg an den Strand verbrät, anstatt sie in Fortschritt zu investieren.
Der McCain-Clinton Ferien-Benzin-Vorschlag ist ein perfektes Beispiel für das, was der Energieexperte Peter Schwartz vom Global Business Network als die wahre amerikanische Energiepolitik von heute bezeichnet. „Die Nachfrage maximieren, das Angebot minimieren und den Rest von denjenigen kaufen, die uns am meisten verachten..."
Wenige Leute wissen es, aber seit fast einem Jahr streitet sich der Kongress darüber, ob man die Steuervorteile für Investitionen in Solarenergie und die Produktion von Windenergie erneuern soll oder nicht. Die Streitereien wurden so giftig geführt, dass es dem Kongress nicht gelangt, einen Stimulus für die Wind- und Solarenergieproduktion zu verlängern, als er im Dezember das Energiegesetz von 2007 erließ.
Öl und Gas haben ihre Kredite behalten, aber die Kredite für die Wind- und Solarenergie hat man im Dezember auslaufen lassen... diese Kredite sind wichtig, denn sie stellen sicher, dass die Investitionen in Wind- und Solarenergie auch dann noch profitabel sind, wenn die Preise für Öl wieder fallen - was häufig passiert.
Damit entwickeln sie neue Energietechnologien und helfen dabei, auf dem aktuellen Stand zu bleiben, so dass sie auch ohne Subventionen weiter wettbewerbsfähig bleiben... das ist so alarmierend, sagt Rhone Resch, der Präsident der Solar Energy Industries Association, dass die Vereinigten Staaten bereits einen Punkt erreicht haben, an dem die Prioritäten des Kongresses durch die Politik so verzerrt werden, „dass er der nächsten großen weltweiten Technologie den Rücken zukehrt" - einer sauberen Energie - „aber das ist genau das, was gerade passiert."
Während alle Präsidentschaftskandidaten über den Stellenverlust in Ohio fluchten, ies es niemandem aufgefallen, dass Amerikas wichtigstes Unternehmen für Solarenergie, First Solar aus Toledo in Ohio, die größte Fabrik in Ostdeutschland aufmacht - mit 540 gut bezahlten Stellen für Ingenieure.
Und das, weil es Deutschland gelungen ist, einen boomenden Solarmarkt aufzubauen und Amerika nicht. [In Deutschland und Japan gibt es Anreizprogramme über 20 bzw. 12 Jahre für Solarenergie - Anm. des am. Verfassers] 1997, sagt Resch, war Amerika mit einem 40%igen Anteil der weltweiten Produktion in der Solarenergietechnologie führend. „Im vergangenen Jahr machten wir weniger als 8% aus und auch davon bestand ein großer Teil aus der Produktion für die Märkte im Ausland.
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Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
UpInArms (1000+ posts) Mon Jun-16-08 07:26 AM
Response to Original message 18. N.Y. Fed's private OTC actions under fire http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN15432607200...
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The New York Federal Reserve's closed-door rule making with top players in the massive $60 trillion credit default swaps market came under legal fire on Sunday, as a fair finance activist filed a complaint questioning why it was done in the dark.
"The Federal Reserve seems to think it can engage in rule making in secret only with the industry," said Matthew Lee, executive director of the New York-based non-profit group Inner City Press/Community on the Move.
Lee filed the administrative complaint on Sunday with both the New York Fed and the Federal Reserve Board in Washington. In the complaint, he demanded that the central bankers explain why the meetings earlier this month were private and requested copies of all communications and details about the New York Fed-sponsored talks.
Officials at the Federal Reserve could not immediately be reached for comment.
The meetings were held with more than a dozen companies led by investment bank Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The companies -- which account for the bulk of business in the $60 trillion market -- met to help set new rules for credit default swaps trading, including the establishment of a clearinghouse.
Credit default swaps are privately negotiated transactions used by companies to hedge against default risks. Over the past decade, the market has grown exponentially, from about $1 trillion to $60 trillion.
Lee, referring to the Fed-led rescue of investment bank Bear Stearns by JPMorgan Chase & Co, said, "It was one thing to bail out Bear Stearns without any comments from the public. Now the Fed is trying to bail out or benefit 17 of the largest financial institutions behind closed doors."
Citing the federal Administrative Procedures Act, he said it was illegal to have conducted the meetings.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
16. Juni 2008, 15:18, NZZ Online
Spürbare Folgen der Überschwemmungen in Iowa
Ernteausfälle dürften die Nahrungsmittelkrise verschärfen
Die Cargill Mais-Fabrik am Ufer des Cedar-River. (Bild: Reuters)
Die Überschwemmungen im amerikanischen Teilstaat Iowa dürften Folgen haben, die über die USA hinausgehen. Beobachter rechnen damit, dass Ernte-Ausfälle bei Mais, Soja und Getreide die Nahrungsmittelkrise noch verschärfen dürften.
(ap) Die Überschwemmungen im Mittleren Westen der USA führen zu drastischen Ernte-Einbussen und könnten damit die weltweite Nahrungsmittelkrise noch verschärfen.
Bilderstrecke: Überschwemmungen in Iowa
Im amerikanischen Gliedstaat Iowa ist der frisch gepflanzte Mais überschwemmt, oder die Bauern haben noch gar nicht gesät, weil auf den Feldern zu viel Wasser steht. Doch die Zeit läuft. «Es sieht nicht gut aus. Es gibt noch Hoffnung, aber sie schwindet mit jedem neuen Regenguss», sagte ein Landwirtschaftsexperte der Universität Iowa.....
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
SUPER GOLD BULL
I had a hunch it was a bailout..
Setting the Record Straight
BY ROB KIRBY
Last week began on Monday, June 9 with Lehman Brothers announcing a worse than expected 2.8 billion quarterly loss and a simultaneous announcement that they were going to raise 6 billion in new capital:
Lehman Brothers Prices Offerings of $4.0 Billion of Common Stock and $2.0 Billion of Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock
6/9/2008 9:19 AM - PR Newswire
NEW YORK, June 9, 2008 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX News Network
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) announced today it has priced a $4.0 billion public offering of 143 million shares of common stock at $28.00 per share.
The Firm also announced that it priced a $2.0 billion public offering of 2.0 million shares of 8.75% Non-Cumulative Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, Series Q (the "Preferred Stock").Lehman Brothers sack finance, operating chiefs
Then, on Thursday, Lehman Brothers dropped this “material disclosure” bombshell on the street:
Jun. 12, 2008 08:21 AM
NEW YORK - Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. shook up its management Thursday, removing two top executives in a concession that attempts to quell Wall Street anger over recent losses have failed.
The nation's fourth-largest investment bank said Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan and Chief Operating Officer Joseph Gregory have been removed from their positions, days after the investment bank announced a $3 billion quarterly loss.
Also on Thursday, incredulously, Lehman announced that they had “closed” their financing:
Lehman Bros. says it has raised 6 bln dlrs as losses loom
Friday June 13, 2008, 6:30 am
NEW YORK (AFP) - US investment bank Lehman Brothers said Thursday that it had successfully closed two special share offerings aimed at raising six billion dollars to help shore up its troubled finances.
Lehman had announced the share offering drives on Monday, when it also told investors that it would likely post an unprecedented second-quarter loss of 2.8 billion dollars due to trading losses amid a lingering credit squeeze…
In securities law there exists a provision known as right of rescission which enables would-be purchasers of securities to terminate or ‘back out’ of a transaction – prior to closing - if they have been materially misled regarding the circumstances of a given transaction:
Right of Rescission [read about it here]:
“Defrauded purchasers may rescind fraudulent sales by national banks of their own capital stock.”
Now, let’s take a look at what transpired in the world of Lehman stock from the time they announced their financing last Monday until Thursday when the deal closed:
Lehman Bros. [NYSE:LEH] Trade Data compliments of stockhouse.com
Ladies and gentlemen, the “SACKING of a CEO and CFO certainly qualifies as an “undisclosed material fact[s].” Lehman’s stock price had fallen 6.78 per share [23%] on the back of these new revelations/disclosures and somehow – whoever these new WOULD-BE investors were – did not seem to care, sought no relief, and implausibly had no interest in “levering” their position to their advantage on a 4+ billion common stock transaction?
Capitalism DOES NOT work this way.
This simply DOES NOT HAPPEN in the real world.
This Lehman financing was categorically a “bail out.”
It REEKS of being another pre-arranged / rigged Federal Reserve hand-out; the practice of crony capitalism – starvation and restricted credit for the masses and open spigots at the almighty fiat trough for connected, privileged insiders.
Overseas equity markets began the week in the green with Japan’s Nikkei Index gaining 380 points to 14,354. North American markets were mixed with the DOW off by 38.30 to 12,269.10, the NASDAQ gaining 20.28 to 2,474.48 and the S & P adding .10 to 1,360.15. NYMEX crude oil futures concluded a wild trading day with a loss of .88 to 133.98 per barrel.
On foreign exchange markets the U.S. Dollar Index lost .41 to 73.63.
In the interest rate complex the benchmark 5 yr. bond finished the day at 3.74% and the 10 yr. bond finished at 4.26%.
Precious metals prices were broadly higher with COMEX gold futures ahead by 11.50 to 883.10 per ounce while COMEX silver futures gained .62 to close at 17.17 per ounce. The XAU Index gained 3.01 to 178.47 and the HUI Index added 6.41 to 404.73.
On tap for tomorrow, at 8:30 a.m. May Building Permit data is due – expected 960K vs. prior 978K. Also at 8:30 a.m., May Housing Starts – expected 1000K vs. prior 1032K. Also at 8:30 a.m. May PPI data is due – headline number expected +1.0% vs. prior +.2%, core number expected +.2% vs. prior +.4%. Then at 9:15 a.m. May Capacity Utilization data is due – expected 79.8% vs. prior 79.7%. Also at 9:15 a.m. May Industrial Production data is due – expected +.2% vs. prior -.7%.
Wishing you all a pleasant evening and happy investing!
Copyright © 2008 All rights reserved.
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
Posted by honey
Registrierungsdatum: Dec 2005
merci @Königswasser und @Edel Man (Goldseitenforum)
La Lettre Confidentielle de LEAP/E2020
GEAB N°26 is available! LEAP/E2020 Summer 2008 Alert – July-December 2008: The world plunges into the heart of the global systemic crisis
- Public announcement GEAB N°26 (Summer 2008 Special Edition - 31 pages!) -
On the occasion of this 26th – Summer 2008 Special – edition of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin, the LEAP/E2020 team has decided to launch an alert on the July-December 2008 period. Indeed, our team is now convinced that this period will consist for the whole world in a major plunge into the heart of the phase of impact of the global systemic crisis. The upcoming six months are in fact the core of the unfolding crisis. The troubles met in the past six months were mere harbingers.
US consumer confidence index (1978-05/2008) – Source: Briefing.com / Conference Board
In the next semester indeed, all the components of the crisis (financial, monetary, economic, strategic, social, political… ones) will converge at the height of their intensity (1). Avoiding to repeat a description of the various sequences already anticipated in the previous editions of the GEAB, our researchers have decided to describe the trends that will be at work in the world's main regions in the next six months. Therefore they analyse eight fundamental processes that will mark the next semester and affect decisively the years 2009-2010, i.e.:
1. A Dollar in distress (EUR 1 = USD 1.75 at the end of 2008): Panic-fear of a US currency and economy collapse eats into the American collective psyche
2. Global financial system: An impossible requirement – placing Washington under international trusteeship – provokes the system's break
3. European Union: The periphery sinks into the recession, the Eurozone only slows down
4. Asia: The « double whammy » inflation/export-collapse
5. Latin America: Difficulties increase but growth remains steady in most parts of the region, Mexico and Argentina in crisis
6. Arab world: Pro-Western regimes go adrift / 60 percent risk of socio-political explosion on Egypt-Morocco axis
7. Iran: 70 percent probability of an attack by October 2007 confirmed
8. Banks/Speculative bubbles: When bubbles collide
In parallel, LEAP/E2020 presents five strategic advices for the intention of central banks, governments and regulatory authorities, aimed at reducing and channelling the very bad consequences of the phase of impact of the crisis.
As to private investors, LEAP/E2020 develops in this 26th issue of the GEAB, a series of 8 operational advices for them to avoid committing fatal mistakes in the course of the next semester.
For this public announcement, LEAP/E2020 chose to present its anticipation on the upcoming break of the global financial system.
Global financial system: An impossible requirement – placing Washington under international trusteeship – provokes the system's break
Who owns the US debt? – Source: Fincher
Washington's decision to raise the bids for the return to a « strong Dollar », by compelling Ben Bernanke to intervene, bears the seeds of an acceleration of the global financial system's breaking process (2).
Ben Bernanke is indeed the last wall before the largest US currency and asset owners become fully aware of the fact that Washington no longer has the means of its monetary policy. What used to be a deliberate policy of currency drop (when it was decided to stop publishing M3 in March 2006, as announced by LEAP/E2020) in order to reduce the country's trade deficits and the real value (for themselves) of the their debt (labelled in Dollar), turned against its perpetrators entailing a major outflow (capital outflow, steadiness of trade deficits, soaring inflation...). The « Bernanke » card is the last « psychological » card Washington can play. The fact of using it proves that US leaders have reached the last limits of what they can do to hold back their partners into the system founded after 1945 and based on the US economy and currency (3).
In a few weeks time (after the next G8- and other organisations-meetings have taken place), when it will be confirmed that there is no way to stabilise the US currency (not to mention the eccentric idea of pushing it up) because the US economy is sinking always deeper into the recession and because the world is already filled with US Dollars no one knows what to do with, then the global financial system will burst out in various sub-systems trying to survive as much as they can before a new global financial equilibrium is found (4). As he is embarking on this road to nowhere, consciously or not, voluntarily or not, Ben Bernanke is signing the end of the current financial system. The return to a “strong Dollar” is a bit like the « liberation of Iraq » : wishful thinking turning into a nightmare.
The inverted pyramid of global liquidity - Sources: Bank of International Settlements / Independent Strategy
As a matter of fact, if Washington really intended to stabilise the Dollar or, more ambitiously, to push it up against the other currencies, there would only be one way (5), in two parts: raising significantly the Fed's interest rates, and lowering drastically the pace of money printing. But if the government decided to implement this type of policy, the US economy (both real and financial) stops dead a few weeks after : the real estate market falls to zero by lack of affordable credit and as a result of soaring interests on Adjustable Rate Mortgage loans, consumption becomes negative (i.e. shrinks back each month), corporate failures multiply exponentially, Wall Street collapses under the burden of innumerable debts and succumbs to the instantaneous implosion of the CDS market due to counterparties default...
Such a series of events, sure to happen if Washington implements a voluntary policy of dollar-rescue, is probably unacceptable by the US authorities. Therefore, apart from talking – and further self-discrediting – they cannot do anything. The method used in the past decades is no longer available: no one will accept to buy large amounts of Dollars in order to rescue the US currency if some voluntary policy (like the one described previously) is not implemented by Washington. As they will not do it, the rest of the world will draw its own conclusions: everyman for himself, knowing that from mid-August onward, as Beijing is relieved from the constraint of the Olympic Games, a large number of “tough” options (6), put on the back burner until the Games, will resurface (7).