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Alt 28.04.2011, 15:49   #8236
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FMX Connect Morning Gold Fix: Silver Warehouse Shenanigans Or The Real Deal?

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/28/2011 09:09 -0400

Our friends at Zerohedge did some excellent discovery and analysis last night on the recent drawdown in Comex Silver stocks eligible for delivery. We have personally seen this activity before, and while we do not doubt the authenticity of the draw down from the Registered (for delivery) stockpile described below; We add that this has happened many times in the past in short -cons meant as exit strategies for big longs. So far, if this is an exit strategy, it is basically what happened in 1997 when Buffet took delivery, but on a much bigger scale, a long –con if you will. But if the reason is that someone bigger that the usual investor community with pockets and a will deeper than all the Bullion Banks combined has decided to de-dollarize their FX reserves, like say China, then this is the way to do it. We think this is real and will describe why briefly after the ZH analysis.

» 55 comments
muss ich erst richtig durchlesen
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Alt 28.04.2011, 23:53   #8237
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...-charts_28.html


I took a lot of risk and profits off the table in the early morning trade, and then watched the action for the rest of the day, adding some broad index shorts into the close to balance out the remaining longs.

The US economy is faltering from the ground up. The dollar continues to slide. I am not so constructive on the valuations here for the short term, but will try not to underestimate the power of the bubble-onians.




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Alt 29.04.2011, 00:01   #8238
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This time Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, report on downgrades, gold bars and third worlds. In the second half of the show, Max talks to Chris Martenson about the breakdown drawing near!
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Alt 29.04.2011, 00:25   #8239
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A Losing Game


I must admit to being amazed. The utter desperation of The Cartel is palpable. They may still win this battle but it is increasingly clear that their empire is crumbling. They are losing and will lose.

The size of the raids to protect and defend 49.50 are enormous.
The backwardation to 2012 and beyond is growing.
Option premiums for July are extraordinarily high.
Bullion banks are quickly acting to protect themselves by reclassifying bullion so that it can't be used in the delivery process.

All of the signs of a coming signal failure are there. The market participants know what's at stake and are desperately trying to avoid it. However, their own actions betray them as it is quickly becoming "every thief for himself" and, as the saying goes, there is no honor amongst thieves.

All that said, I still don't expect this overnight or even next week. It might happen. I'm just saying that I don't expect it to happen, at least not yet. If I had to give you a timeline, it would look something like this: (Again, I'm attempting to predict the future here. Please don't do not expect me to be 100% accurate with everything I state below.)

1) First notice day for May silver is tomorrow. Expect intermittent raids through the evening, overnight and tomorrow as The Cartel tries to shrink the May OI as much as possible.
2) The POSX continues to decline next week. It will get desperately close to critical support between 70.81 and 72.17 on the cash number.
3) Though volatile, gold and silver rally through next Thursday. Gold breaks through 1550 and even approaches 1560. By Monday, with some Cartel pressure removed, silver finally begins a successful assault on 50 and reaches toward 52 by Thursday.
4) Just as all looks lost for the dollar and the PMs look ready to roll, the BLSBS report comes out next Friday with a better-than-expected (versus reduced expectations) number. Dollar shorts scramble to cover. The POSX gets a desperately needed bounce away from 72. Over the next 10 trading days, it even makes a run back toward 74.
5) In the face of a rising POSX, the metals trade in a downward consolidation from 5/7-5/21. Gold trades back down toward 1535. Silver reaches a selling climax all the way back down toward 47 or even 46.

IF all of this plays out even remotely close to what I've described, I believe we will be set up for the opportunity of a lifetime. From 5/24 until the end of June, silver will streak higher, peaking somewhere between 65 and 70. Gold will rocket higher, too, achieving my stated goal of $1600 before 6/10 and rolling on toward Santa's oft-stated goal of $1650 before the end of the month.
...
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Alt 29.04.2011, 08:29   #8240
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Thursday, April 28, 2011

CMEGroup hiking Silver margins for the second time in a week

The CMEGroup announced that as of the close of trading this Friday, margin requirements are yet again going up in silver.

For speculators, initial margin is increased to $14,513 per full sized silver contract, up from this week's earlier hike to $12,825.

Maintenance margin is moving up to $10,750 from $9,500.

Hedgers margin and maintenance is rising to $10,750 and $9,500 respectively.
Posted by Trader Dan at 3:16 PM 9 comments
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Alt 29.04.2011, 20:25   #8241
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Angehängte Grafiken
Dateityp: jpg MermaidsRock1.jpg (75,4 KB, 11x aufgerufen)
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Alt 29.04.2011, 20:50   #8242
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Bernanke Starts Talking, Gold Surges Past $1,558

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/29/2011 13:39 -0400

Remember when every appearance of Obama and Geithner would send the market plunging before the institution of central planning? Well, we now have a new phenomenon: every time the Chairsatan opens his mouth gold surges. Pretty simple. The second Bernanke started delivering his prepared propaganda at the Community Affairs Research Conference, whose parallel chat session appears to have been overtaken by conscientious objectors, gold surged from the mid $1540s to $1,558. A few dollars here, a few dollars there, and pretty soon we are talking real money...
Bernanke als GoldMarie
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Alt 30.04.2011, 00:10   #8243
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts


http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...-charts_29.html


Gold was the lead today and in style.

Why?

Because the dollar was thrown under the bus by Bernanke yesterday, and gold is still the primary alternative currency.

Silver had a bit of a cheap pullback at end of day, but after the huge turnaround this week there should be few complaints.

The shorts are impaled.




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Alt 30.04.2011, 01:40   #8244
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Trader Dan's Market Views


Significant short covering has been occuring in Silver

Please see the comments on the chart below as this drop in open interest is a reason for a bit of caution in approaching this market. As long as the shorts cover, prices will move higher but one has to be careful to watch for when they might finish up covering.

A push through $50 will force more of this short covering and should attract more buying from the general public but the managed money is still a net seller for the last four weeks. Again - caution is warranted especially with the big hike in margins.

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Alt 30.04.2011, 02:38   #8245
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Just When You Think You've Seen It All


You get days like today...

Never mind that I told you this morning that silver would be capped all day.
Never mind that I warned you last night that The Wicked Witch would be stalking the pit like a mythical beast.
Never mind that I told you yesterday that gold was going to be leading silver for a while.
Today was truly breathtaking it it's peculiarity.

I've been around a long time and maybe my memory is starting to fail. (Wouldn't surprise me. It's always been said that alcohol abuse damages brain cells.) I cannot recall ever seeing such a disconnect between silver and gold on a day session. Ever. Oh, sure, maybe silver might be up or down 3% while gold only moves 1% but at least they'd be moving in tandem. To have the two totally and completely trade independent of each other is absolutely extraordinary. Here are your two charts to consider. They are both 5-minute pictures of today's action.


....


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Alt 01.05.2011, 19:32   #8246
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Last Saturday, many investors experienced their yearly climax with the annual shareholder meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, the investment vehicle of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, which attracts tens of thousands enthusiastic BRK shareholders.

The ‘Woodstock’ for investors is always a good reflection point for us to see what these gurus have to say about our favorite asset class ‘Commodities’, and more specifically ‘Gold’ and ‘Silver’.

Buffett as well as Munger have never been huge fans of gold (and now we putting it very polite), simply because they don’t understand precious metals. A very well known fraise of Warren Buffett on gold: “Gold gets dug out of the ground, then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.”......
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Alt 02.05.2011, 03:33   #8247
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HaPPY BeLTaNe 2011: TiMe To Get NaKed...


Submitted by williambanzai7 on 05/01/2011 19:25 -0400



Beltane--A pagan ritualistic May Day celebration wherein nubile young females dance around naked burning greenbacks in homage to the bullshit spinning virility of their great Ponzi Lord & Chairsatan...



h/t M

...


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/ha...-time-get-naked
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Alt 02.05.2011, 03:39   #8248
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Portrait of Desperation

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...esperation.html


The Comex is facing a default, and the powers that be are very nervous since it involves at least one of the TBTF monstrosities.

Shock and awe in the thin Sunday night trade, running the stops of the new futures holders whose options were filled. Even more heavy handed and blatant than usual.

Run it up, and then smack it back down.

Take a letter, Ted...

Oh, and by the way Blythe, skip the histrionics. Stand and Deliver.


Paper good, metal bad. Paper good, metal bad.


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Alt 02.05.2011, 04:04   #8249
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More On The Silver Dive: "Massive Sell Orders" Coupled With Bolivian Nationalization Halt Combine For Perfect Weak Hand Shakeout Storm


Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2011 21:37 -0400


Two key factors that appear to be contributing to the rapid move in overnight silver (and subsequent jump to pare half its losses) is i) the fact that Bolivia, despite being in a cash crunch has for the time being yielded to miner demands and has put its nationalization plans (as discussed previously here) on hold, and ii) there has been a dramatic bout of selling coming out of nowhere, despite the PM complex having opened very well bid earlier on, in what appears a coordinate effort to nuke silver exclusively.

From the WSJ: "Opposition from Bolivia's independently organized miners stopped President Evo Morales from implementing plans to boost state control over the country's mines Sunday, according to leading officials who were advocating takeovers of the country's vast mineral wealth. Mr. Morales has generally used May 1 labor day festivities to highlight his socialist agenda of reverting the country's energy and mineral resources to state ownership. On previous labor days, he announced nationalizations of Bolivia's strategic hydrocarbon reserves and the electric power grid, with mass rallies and military displays. This year, however, anticipated takeovers of the mining sector failed to materialize." None of this however, is news, as Coeur d'Alene and, of course, Sumitomo, the two biggest silver miners in the politically embroiled country already were assured their facilities would not be touched so we fail to see how this non-news is in any way validating of a nearly 20% move. Elsewhere, Bloomberg notes what appears to have been a massive coordinate attack on silver starting just before 6:30 pm Eastern.

From Bloomberg:
"We opened up this morning n New Zealand exceptionally well bid across the board," Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services Pty, said in a phone interview from Sydney today. "We got a high in gold and then we got massive sell orders in the spot market and the price fell through. When futures opened the market fell again."

Looks like the old sell into low volume trick to flush the stops and kill the weak hands has worked again. Throw in last week's two CME margin hikes and Friday night's margin bonanza by MF Global, and one had a perfect storm set up for another wipe out in silver to start the week.

In the meantime, silver promptly managed to retrace over 50% of the move shortly after the dump. At this point whatever holders remain following last week's margin action and this evening's fine example of shock and awe will likely need far more energy and capital to be shaken out by the same entities whose primary goal is to prevent the surge in silver and ongoing capital-sapping collateral calls. Since none of the actual fundamentals before the long-term trajectory in silver (and gold) have changed, this appears like a rather attractive entry point.

Lastly, one should recall that silver had a mini 10% correction last week and not only promptly recovered but nearly passed the $50 level shortly thereafter. This time will not be any different.

5



http://www.zerohedge.com/article/mo...mbine-perfect-w
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Alt 02.05.2011, 16:15   #8250
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02 May 2011

Net Asset Values of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds

I would be ashamed to tell you the prices paid for some new positions this morning as the wiseguys 'ran the stops' for another dose of shock and awe. To run the stops means to smack the price down with wanton selling to trigger stop loss orders which have been preplaced. The exchanges and market makers can see where they are concentrated beforehand.

Over the weekend a reader showed me anecdotal evidence of naked short selling and tape painting by the major financials on some of the Canadian exchanges that was fairly shocking, but required further investigation. He has been sending this to their regulatory authority and been ignored.

For a country with such a sound banking system, the equity markets in Canada are quite amazing. The Canadian exchanges sometimes appear to be like a carney sideshow, making even the Comex look good by comparison. Why they tolerate that sort of thing in such a normally sensible country makes one wonder.

I rarely discuss the mining stocks, but there are some interesting divergences in the precious metal funds this morning.



Posted by Jesse at 9:48 AM
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