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Alt 22.07.2008, 09:26   #376
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The picture that shames Italy


It's another balmy weekend on the beach in Naples. By the rocks, a couple soak up the southern Italian sun. A few metres away, their feet poking from under beach towels that cover their faces and bodies, lie two drowned Roma children.

....da bleibt es mir im Hals stecken
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Alt 22.07.2008, 10:31   #377
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SEC Protects Naked Short Selling BANKING Gnomes!


July 20, 2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


All over the mainstream media is a sense of rising hysteria. Finally, after two years, the realization that we are screwed is finally sinking in. Even the top gnomes running the global financial and political systems are admitting something is wrong. Only they say, they can FIX this mess they created due to their own greed and lust for busty, pretty goddesses. So they are going hard to work to save...THEIR OWN GREEN HIDES! And we have to stop them. But stopping them is difficult, of course. They have most of the power. They do fear the wild rages in the streets and countryside of places filled with peasants and workers. Oh, oh, if they fail in saving everyone, they might DIE. Like, in a historical upsurge of rage from below.......

http://elainemeinelsupkis.typepad.com/money_matters/
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Alt 22.07.2008, 11:28   #378
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The Coming Systemic Bust of the U.S. Banking System: “Dead Stocks Rallying”
Nouriel Roubini
Jul 20, 2008
RGE Monitor

This past week started with concerns about another systemic meltdown of the U.S. financial system as the insolvency of Fannie and Freddie was revealed and as IndyMac went bust (this third largest bank collapse in U.S. history). But the week ended with a remarkable rally of financial stocks as better than expected results from Wells Fargo, JP Morgan and Citi soothed the fears that major financial institutions were in even more distress than already predicted by market analysts.

Unfortunately, this massive rally of financial stocks in the latter part of the week is just another temporary bear market rally that will fizzle away once the onslaught of bad financial and macro news builds up again.

The views I presented in a recent blog that we will experience a severe financial and banking crisis received the support of many well respected commentators. Alan Abelson – at Barron’s – is one of the most senior and well known commentators on financial issues and on Wall Street. In his latest Barron’s column – aptly titled “Dead Stocks Rallying” he wrote:

WHY WE'RE STILL BEARISH WAS SPELLED out starkly in a dispatch we received last week from Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel is a professor of economics at NYU Stern School of Business (but don't hold that against him) and runs an economic
advisory firm called RGE Monitor that casts a knowing and clear eye on the
global financial and economic scene. We think he's top-notch (which means we
agree with him, a lot of the time).

The nub of his argument is that we're suffering the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, and he proceeds to give chilling chapter and verse. He predicts that hundreds of small banks loaded with real estate will go bust and dozens of large regional and national banks will also find themselves in deep do-do.

He reckons that, in a few years, there'll be no major independent broker-dealers left: They'll either pack it in or merge, victims of excessive leverage and a badly flawed and discredited business model.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., after it gets through picking up the pieces of IndyMac, will sooner or later have to get a capital transfusion, Nouriel asserts, because its insurance premiums won't cover the tab of rescuing all the troubled banks. He foresees credit losses ultimately reaching at least $1 trillion and anticipates a heap of woe for credit purveyors across the board.

The poor consumer, he contends, is shopped out and being hammered by falling home prices, falling equity prices, falling jobs and incomes, rising inflation. The recession he anticipates will last 12 to 18 months. And the rest of the world won't escape: He looks for hard landings for 12 major economies. As for the stock market, he hazards that there's plenty of room left on the downside. In fact, he feels the bear market won't end until equities are down a full 40% from their peaks.

We must say this vision is a mite too apocalyptic even for us. But Nouriel is not a
professional fear-monger out to make a splash with end-of-the-world
prognostications He's a sound guy with a solid record and an impressive résumé.
We obviously believe his views are worth pondering, even if they ruin your
appetite.
That was a very nice summary by Abelson of my views and a kind endorsement of them.

But how to square the views that a large fraction of the US financial system is in trouble with the apparently better than expected earnings results and lower than expected writedowns presented by financial institutions such as Wells Fargo, JP Morgan and Citi that led to the financials’ stocks most recent rally? There are many reasons why those earnings results are misleading and cosmetically retouched upward while the true financial conditions of the financial system are more dire than otherwise presented.

Let us discuss next in some detail the various reasons why financial conditions of financial firms and banks are much worse than those headline figures and why we the US will experience a systemic financial crisis…

First of all, in a week when only a massive and open ended bailout rescued Fannie and Freddie, when IndyMac went bust and when Merrill presented much worse than expected results it is very hard to be optimistic about the health of the US financial institutions. Reports in the next few days will reveal whether reality is closer to Fannie/Freddie/IndyMac/Merrill or rather closer to the Citi/JPMorgan/Wells Fargo outlook.

Most financial institutions are putting increasing numbers of assets in the illiquid buckets of Level 2 and Level 3 assets. While FASB 157 should prevent manipulation of the valuation of such illiquid assets, forbearance by the SEC, the Fed and other regulators allows a massive amount of fudging.

An insider told me that in a major financial institution the approach is as follows now: top management decide in advance what the announced writedowns should be and folks dealing with the toxic/illiquid assets come up with totally ad hoc assumptions to make sure that such illiquid assets are valued consistently with the decided-in-advance amount of writedowns and losses.

This is not earnings smoothing; this is active manipulation and falsification of financial results aimed at creating even more obfuscation of the true state of financial institutions. This obfuscation is actively abetted by the SEC, the Fed and all other regulators that are now in forbearance crisis management stage where the objective is to avoid at any cost anything that may trigger a financial meltdown. Thus, most of these earnings reports are not worth the paper they are written off........

.....
So when you add it all up this will be the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression: not as severe as that episode but second only to it. And the real effects of this financial crisis will be severe and more severe if remedial policy action is not rapidly undertaken. Ditto for the US recession: this will be the worst of such U.S. recessions in decades.

Posted by Jesse at 10:19 PM
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/
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Alt 22.07.2008, 11:48   #379
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Monday, 07.21.08 Al and Roger Wiegand discuss economic trends overseas and the U.S. markets.


http://www.kereport.com/DailyRadio/Daily072108-1.mp3

ein HorrorBild von Spanien - für die PMs
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Alt 22.07.2008, 15:32   #380
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ozymandius (1000+ posts) Tue Jul-22-08 07:56 AM
Response to Reply #12 16. Analysis: Fed, Comptroller of the Currency Due Diligence Sham for Fannie, Freddie There are three simple reasons why this supposed review is certain to be a sham.

First, do you think that it would be acceptable for the examiners to come back and say the GSEs were in trouble, or merely undercapitalized? Never. So the outcome of this exercise is predetermined. The most we might see is some recommendations for improvement and/or mention of some minor problem area, nothing threatening. to make the process look legitimate.

Indeed, Paulson's own comments confirm that this is a PR effort:

“Ofheo has told us one thing and the markets have told us another,” Mr. Paulson said. “I’d like as much input as possible.”

He added that the examination would “make the markets more comfortable” about the financial health of the companies.



That comment presupposes a clean bill of health.

Second, the manpower is certain to be insufficient. When Citigroup was in serious trouble in the early 1990s, it took 160 examiners to go over their portfolio. And the troubled loans were junior/senior debt deals, where Citi was holding junior debt on what turned out to be see-through office buildings in Texas and the Southwest. That meant it was a specific number of deals (I have no idea how many, but exactly how many bad commercial RE deals could a large bank do?) that were inspected intensely.

Now this is a completely different sort of exercise, but I strongly suspect it would take more than 160 people per GSE to perform this review in enough depth to make most readers happy, and it's a pretty safe bet there are not that many people dedicated to this task.

Third, not even remotely enough time. Paulson wants the rescue package approved by Congress this week and wants the inspection to bolster confidence:

Mr. Paulson repeated his earlier comments that Congress should provide the administration with open-ended authority to make investments and loans to the two giant companies to send a strong signal to the markets that they have plenty of financial muscle behind them.

“The more flexibility we have on the credit facility, the more confidence you have in the market and the greater protection to the taxpayer because the less likely it will be used,” Mr. Paulson said. “Something like that shouldn’t have to be used. It’s like the Fed’s lender of last resort facility.”

He said it would be unfair to describe any possible loan to either institution as a bailout because, he said, they would have to post “strong collateral” that would protect taxpayers from losses.

“These entities have good collateral,” he said. “There are mortgages being made today.”

In response to a question about how confident he could be that the collateral would be adequately valued considering the sharp and continuing decline in the housing markets, he said that the two companies were being examined by officials from the Fed and the comptroller’s office.



http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/07/fed-comptroller-...



See? It's all good. These dogs and ponies parading in little circles are necessary before all is declared well.
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Alt 22.07.2008, 15:47   #381
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PAUL B. FARRELL
11 reasons America's a new socialist economy

How free market ideology backfired, sabotaging capitalistic democracy

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
Last update: 6:45 p.m. EDT July 21, 2008

ARROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- Welcome to the conservative's worse nightmare: The law of unintended consequences. Why? Nobody wants to admit it, folks, but the conservatives' grand ideology is backfiring, actually turning the world's greatest capitalistic democracy into the world's newest socialist economy.

A little history: The core principles of conservative economic ideology are grounded in Nobel economist Milton Friedman's 1962 classic "Capitalism and Freedom." Too late to stop President Lyndon Johnson's Great Society, those principles became the battle cries energizing conservatives since Reagan: Unrestricted free markets, free enterprise and free trade; deregulation, privatization and globalization; trickle-down economics and trickle-up wealth to an elite plutocracy destined to rule the new American capitalist utopia.

So what happened? Are you guys nuts? Hey, I'm talking to all you blind Beltway politicians (in both parties) ... plus the Old Boys Club running Wall Street (into the ground) ... plus all you fat-cat CEOs (with megamillion parachutes) ... and all your buddies scamming everybody else to get on the Forbes 400. You are proof of Lord Acton's warning: "Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely."

It's backfiring! You folks turned our America from a great capitalistic democracy into a meddling socialist economy. Still you don't get it. You're acting like teen addicts tripping on an overdose of "greed-is-good" testosterone while your caricature of conservative economics would at best make a one-line joke on Jay Leno.

Here are 11 reasons your manipulations are sabotaging the great principles of leaders like Friedman and Reagan:

1. Dumber than a fifth grader with cognitive dissonance
Kids know what it means. They know most adults today can't see past the end of their noses. Liberals tune out candidate McBush for being lost in the past. Conservatives can't hear Obama without seeing that turban.
Cognitive dissonance simply means most brains cannot see past their own narrow ideologies. They dismiss any data that contradicts their old ideologies. Whether you're a conservative Republican or liberal Democrat, you only hear what you already know is "true." All else is tuned out.

2. Where did all the leaders go with their moral character?

Friedman's economics requires leaders of moral character. Did it run into Lord Acton's warning: "Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely?" Former Ford and Chrysler CEO Lee Iacocca said yes in "Where Have All the Leaders Gone?"
Friedman's great conservative principles have been commandeered by myopic ideologues whose idea of leadership is balancing the demands of self-interest lobbyists with the need for campaign donations. Unfortunately, a new "change" president won't be enough; there are 537 elected officials in Washington controlled by 42,000 special interest lobbyists.

3. Fed and U.S. Treasury adopted Enron accounting tricks

Bad news: Enron failed several years ago because of its off-balance-sheet accounting scam. The Fed's doing the same thing: Dumping Bear's $30 billion liabilities onto the taxpayer's "balance sheet." Next Treasury proposes adding $5.3 trillion more from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Unfortunately clever accounting tricks by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke aren't going to fool foreign lenders analyzing America's creditworthiness. Worse-case scenario: U.S. Treasury bills with less than a triple-A rating.
With 90 banks on the brink and already too many bail-outs, our so-called leaders are running out of magic bullets. So now the taxpayer's "balance sheet" has become the all-purpose "dumping ground" and it's overcrowding fast as our leaders raise the white flag of socialism.

4. Deregulation creating new socialist housing system
Back in 1999 a Democratic president and Republican Congress were in love with a fantasy called the "new economics." Enthusiastic lobbyists invented the brilliant idea of dismantling the wall between commercial and investment banking: They killed the Glass-Steagall Act that was keeping the sleazy hands of short-term hustlers out of the pockets of long-term lenders.
Flash forward: We lost 85-year-old Bear Sterns and $32 billion IndyMac. Lehman's iffy. And 90 banks. With the virtual takeover of Freddie and Fanny, Wall Street's grand experiment with free-market ideology is backfiring, having socialized the housing market. They have nobody to blame but their self-centered greed.

5. Trade deficits outsourced more of America's wealth than jobs
One look at Forbes lists of fat cats and you know the 21st Century doesn't just belong to Asia, it belongs to everyone but America. Why? Once again, remember Warren Buffett's famous "Farmer's Story" in Fortune: "We were taught in Economics 101 that countries could not for long sustain large, ever-growing trade deficits ... our country has been behaving like an extraordinarily rich family that possesses an immense farm. In order to consume 4% more than they produce -- that's the trade deficit -- we have, day by day, been both selling pieces of the farm and increasing the mortgage on what we still own."
Friedman was right: Congressional spending is the biggest cause of inflation, and, wow, those conservatives sure did love blank-check deficit spending the past eight years!

6. Banking system in meltdown, minting penny stocks
The Friedman conservatives apparently understand Joseph Schumpeter's "creative destruction." Yet, our free-market ideologues can't seem to accept that America is now on the "destructive" downside leg of the cycle, in the economy, markets, trade, politics and, yes, sadly, even with their conservative ideology.
You don't have to be smarter than a fifth grader to figure out that our leaders are clueless about the reality of our crumbling banking system, with many banks trading as penny stocks, while the Fed still panders to conservative pre-election politics rather than getting serious about inflation.

7. Ideologues preach savings, but still push spending
A core principle of conservatism is frugality, saving for the future. Grandparents raised me, struggled during the Depression, passed on strong ideals.
Somewhere over the past generation conservatives forget frugality. This distortion peaked in 2003 when consumers were told to spend, not sacrifice, and fuel the economy even as government spent excessively on war. That was a clear breach of every conservative leader's position in earlier wars.
As a result, in one brief generation, as the power of conservative ideologues grew, America's savings rate dropped precipitously from 11% in 1980 to less than zero today.

8. Warning, the market's under 2000 peak, losing money
Imagine you're on Jeff Foxworthy's fabulous show competing to see if you really are smarter than a fifth grader. Question: "If you put $10,000 in the market in March of 2000 when the Dow peaked at 11,722, how much money would you have today if the market's 10% under 11,722?" So you guess $9,000.
But then two fifth graders raise their hands: One asks if the CPI inflation rate should be considered? If so, maybe $5,000 is closer to the right answer. The other kid wants to know if you're buying stuff in Chicago or Singapore.
The truth is, the best answer for most adults is: "You've lost a hell of a lot of money in the market under the grand conservative ideology the past eight years."

9. Inflation and dollars: Is Zimbabwe the new model for the U.S.?
The Los Angeles Times ran a photo of a Zimbabwe $500 million bank note, worth $20 at noon, less at dinner. Why? Inflation's there is running 32 million (yes million!) percent annually. The German company printing their banknotes finally cut them off.
Things may be worse in America, psychologically. Our ideological obsession with "growth" is not working because there is too much collateral damage, namely inflation. Our dollar has lost substantial value to the euro because our dysfunctional leaders are convinced that a trade policy funded by debt makes sense.
Now we owe China $1.3 trillion, sovereign funds want equity not cheap dollar IOUs, and still our clueless Treasury and the Fed continue debasing our currency, printing money like Zimbabwe.

10. Free-market health care failing 47,000,000 Americans

Big Pharma loves free-market conservatism and no-compete Medicare drug programs. Nobody else is happy. Taxpayers get stuck with the bill.
"The Coming Generational Storm" tells us that without massive reforms and big lifestyle changes for taxpayers (especially retirees), within a couple short decades America's entitlement programs will eat up the entire federal budget. Medicare is the biggest cost item in your future, over $50 trillion in unfunded liabilities.
Conservative ideologues naively believe the answer is more pay-out-of-pocket insurance plans, even with 47 million already uninsured because they can't pay. Here as in so many areas of our economy, free-market junkies really are suffering a severe case of cognitive dissonance, as blind to the facts about the uninsured as they are to their outdated free-market fantasies.

11. Conservative free-market policies inflated oil 300%!
Yep, oil inflated 300% in eight short years under the "leadership of two oil men." But, you can't blame them. We put the foxes in the henhouse, knowing full well "real" oil men love digging holes on the supply side, supporting ethanol subsidies and blaming speculators -- it's in their genes! Talk about cognitive dissonance; real oil men thrive on cowboy images of Marlboro Men in Hummers, Navigators and F-150 trucks.
Net result? Another perfect example of "creative destruction" in action as conservative ideology meets "law of unintended consequences," driving GM, the symbol of America capitalism, closer to bankruptcy ... while turning America into a socialist economy.


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http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...ist=SecMostRead

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Alt 22.07.2008, 18:14   #382
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July 22, 2008


Scanning the headlines, I guess we can’t fight all the good news that is raising the

dollar and sinking gold……!

Home Prices Post Record Drop- AP

A government report says U.S. home prices fell a record 4.8 percent in May from the same month last year. The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight also says prices, on a seasonally adjusted basis, fell 0.3 percent from April to May.






Stimulating the economy one bull at a time
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Alt 22.07.2008, 19:04   #383
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Karadzic- Festnahme nährt Serbiens EU- Hoffnungen

Angela Merkel spricht von einem "historischen Moment", Diplomaten in Brüssel zeigen sich erleichtert: Die Ergreifung des mutmaßlichen Kriegsverbrechers Karadzic ist für Serbien ein großer Schritt in Richtung EU. Noch aber zögert Belgrads Regierung, wichtige Bedingungen zu erfüllen. mehr... [ Video | Forum ]




kaum zu erkennen
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Alt 22.07.2008, 19:18   #384
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quote lunar


... wird interessant, wie der " serbische Ritter "
Peter Handke auf die Festnahme reagieren wird,
evtl. ja schon in der ZEIT diese Woche.

Signora del Ponte hat man ja schon einen Maulkorb
verpasst, Buenos Aires ist noch nicht weit genug ...
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Alt 22.07.2008, 19:22   #385
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Alt 22.07.2008, 19:30   #386
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Zitat:
Zitat von Silverbay

... wird interessant, wie der " serbische Ritter "
Peter Handke auf die Festnahme reagieren wird,
evtl. ja schon in der ZEIT diese Woche.....


ja - dürfte spannend sein

Serbien-Kontroverse [Bearbeiten]


1996 kam es in den Medien nach der Veröffentlichung von Handkes Reisebericht Eine winterliche Reise zu den Flüssen Donau, Save, Morawa und Drina oder Gerechtigkeit für Serbien zu heftigen Kontroversen, die bis heute andauern. Kritiker werfen ihm eine Verharmlosung der serbischen Kriegsverbrechen vor,[5] während Handke für sich eine differenziertere Wortwahl und Darstellung der Ereignisse als in der allgemeinen journalistischen Berichterstattung in Anspruch nimmt. 2004 besuchte er Slobodan Milošević im Gefängnis in Den Haag. 2005 wurde er von den Verteidigern des jugoslawischen Ex-Präsidenten, der vor dem UN-Kriegsverbrechertribunal in Den Haag des Völkermords und der Verbrechen gegen die Menschlichkeit angeklagt war, als Zeuge eingeladen. Handke lehnte dies ab und veröffentlichte wenig später einen Essay mit dem Titel Die Tablas von Daimiel, der den Untertitel Ein Umwegzeugenbericht zum Prozess gegen Slobodan Milošević trägt. Am 18. März 2006 trat Handke auf der Beerdigung von Slobodan Milošević als Redner auf,[6] was zu einem Wiederaufleben der Kontroverse führte. Im Zusammenhang mit Handkes Grabrede wurde auch sein Stück Spiel vom Fragen oder die Reise ins sonore Land vom Spielplan der Pariser Comédie Française abgesetzt, was abermals sowohl befürwortende als auch kritische Stimmen hervorrief. Am 2. Juni 2006 verzichtete Peter Handke aufgrund der entbrannten politischen Diskussion auf den erstmals mit 50.000 Euro dotierten Heinrich-Heine-Preis 2006 der Stadt Düsseldorf.

Von Schauspielern des Berliner Ensembles ging im Juni 2006 eine Initiative aus, der «Berliner Heinrich-Heine-Preis»[7] genannt, die die Attacken des Düsseldorfer Stadtrates als „Angriff auf die Freiheit der Kunst“ bezeichnete und für Handke das Preisgeld in gleicher Höhe sammeln wollte. Mitglieder der Initiative waren u.a. Käthe Reichel, Rolf Becker, Dietrich Kittner, Arno Klönne, Monika und Otto Köhler, Eckart Spoo, Ingrid und Gerhard Zwerenz, Claus Peymann. [8] Am 22. Juni 2006 bedankte sich Handke für die Bemühungen, lehnte jedoch seine Annahme ab und bat stattdessen um eine Spende an serbische Dörfer im Kosovo.[9] Anlässlich der Uraufführung seines Stückes Spuren der Verirrten am 21. Februar 2007 wurde ihm die vollständig gesammelte Preissumme und der Preis übergeben, die Handke einer serbischen Enklave im Kosovo zukommen lassen will.[10] Die Wahl fiel auf das hauptsächlich von Serben bewohnte Dorf Velika Hoča, an dessen Bürgermeister Dejan Baljoševic das Preisgeld von Handke an Ostern 2007 übergeben wurde.[11] [12]

Im Januar 2008 äußerte Handke, dass er, wäre er Serbe, den serbischen Nationalisten und stellvertretenden Vorsitzenden der SRS, Tomislav Nikolić wählen würde.[13] [14]. Am 22. Februar 2008 verfasste Handke einen kleinen Kommentar in der französischen Zeitung "Le Figaro", in dem er noch einmal an die gemeinsame Geschichte Jugoslawiens in Bezug auf den Sieg über den Nationalsozialismus hinwies und die westlichen Staaten als "Gaunerstaaten" bezeichnete.[15]

http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Handke
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Alt 22.07.2008, 19:40   #387
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... Lunar, Du machst ein super Arbeit !

Gerade die von den Märkten scheinbar entfernten
threads sind von Relevanz, um die Perspektive auf
die politischen Kontexte zu bewahren.

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Alt 22.07.2008, 20:18   #388
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...danke Silverbay es hat auch seine Tücken die politischen und ethischen Geschmäcker sind eben verschieden :o
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Alt 22.07.2008, 22:50   #389
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...das muss hier auch noch rein


July 21, 2008
Categories: Barack Obama

The day in images

It's not really close:






By Ben Smith 03:03 PM
comments (206)
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Alt 23.07.2008, 11:28   #390
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lunar ist offline   Mit Zitat antworten
Für Inhalt und Rechtmäßigkeit dieses Beitrags trägt der Verfasser lunar die alleinige Verantwortung. (s. Haftungshinweis)
Antwort Gehe zum letzten Beitrag


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