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Alt 13.04.2011, 23:55   #8161
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...-charts_13.html


A rebound today from the bear market raids of yesterday. The action in the miners intraday was a little obvious. When you can come in and move a market with 1000 share orders you know it is a thin trade. The premiums of CEF and PHYS went into the red intraday and provided a potential opportunity.

The right hand of the rounded inverse H&S curve in the gold chart was set today hopefully, showing support about where it would have been expected.

Silver remains resilient. QE is here to stay without regard to what antics the Fed may engage in, or what nice words the politicians may use to wrap that dead fish.

Without reform, particularly in the financial sector, there will be no sustainable recovery. The FIRE sector is a regressive tax on the real economy which offers a serious drag on the recovery.





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Alt 14.04.2011, 01:09   #8162
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Presenting John Paulson's Complete Les Echos Interview In Which He Is Bearish On Housing, Bullish On Gold

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/13/2011 17:47 -0400



Two days ago John Paulson had an extended interview with Les Echos which however received little coverage in the US, supposedly since the interview was in French, and also because it was behind a paywall. Since the interview does provide some incremental perspectives by Paulson, it is useful to recreate it in its entirety. Specifically, Paulson is now far more bearish on US housing, blaming it on FrankenDodd, and he continues to be as bullish as ever on gold. To wit: "Over time, the price of gold will rise in proportion to the creation of paper dollars. In an inflationary environment where the demand for protection increases, the price of gold can rise even further. Historically, gold has always been a safe haven against inflation and a safe haven in times of political instability. Today we face both risks." As for whether or not we will have QE3: Paulson is not the guy to ask. He is as confused as the Fed presidents.

»
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Alt 14.04.2011, 12:07   #8163
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.....heute sind sie aber früh in den Startlöchern
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Alt 14.04.2011, 18:56   #8164
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Zitat:
Zitat von lunar

.....heute sind sie aber früh in den Startlöchern

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Alt 14.04.2011, 21:32   #8165
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Will Silver Surge Following The Nationalization Of Bolivia's Silver Mines By Embattled President Evo Morales?

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/14/2011 14:05 -0400

Two weeks ago the precious metals space was closely following the fate of Sumitomo's San Cristobal mine, where a long strike had paralyzed work at the world's third largest producer of silver and sixth-largest producer of zinc. While the strike was eventually resolved with concession to the domestic workers, a far more troubling report from Bolivian daily La-Razon states that Bolivia's president Evo Morales is now planning on expropriating zinc, silver and tin mines sold off by previous governments. Bloomberg reports that "Morales will announce a decree May 1 to “dismantle the privatization model,” said Nicolas Fernandez, a spokesman for state mining company Corp. Minera de Bolivia, known as Comibol. "The government is recovering all the privatized companies,” Fernandez said today in a telephone interview from La Paz. “When the decision is taken, Comibol will be ready to manage these mines.”" Among the contracts to be affected are those with Glencore International AG, Pan American Silver Corp., and most importantly, Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp., which is operator of the San Bartolome mine: the world's largest pure silver mine. Notably San Bartolome and Sumitomo's San Cristobal "account for about 83% of the nearly 1.1M tons of fine silver Bolivia produced in 2009, according to Mining Ministry data" according to The Gold Report. If indeed this news is proven true, and we will know for sure in 16 days, looks for the price of silver to spike considering about 1.33 million kilograms of silver was produced in Bolivia 2009, according to the U.S. Geological Survey: an amount which will likely fall off a cliff following the utter chaos that is unexpected nationalization.
CDE
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Alt 14.04.2011, 23:28   #8166
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Trader Dan's Market Views



Gold - 8 Hour chart update




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Alt 14.04.2011, 23:48   #8167
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Gold, Silver and Stocks in a Financial Panic

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...-charts-no.html

Gold is resilient, bouncing off its tentative right shoulder support. Silver is just awesome, taking no prisoners.

The commodity commentary on the Bloomberg network was particularly ridiculous today. They drew a parallel between the commodity rise in and then decline in 2008 and the rise in 2011, predicting a similar decline, without ever mentioning the cause, using ominous sounding words and innuendo.

Uh, as I recall there was a stock market crash in 2008 that pulled down everything including commodities. Funny, they keep forgetting to mention that while predicting a waterfall decline in commodities.

I will repeat as I have done so over and over, that if there is a general liquidation of all financial assets, gold and silver will take a hit as well, along with most other commodities. Silver will decrease further because it has a high beta or variability.

This will most likely represent a buying opportunity if you have the right time horizon and capitalization, and of course depending on your economic outlook, because gold and silver tend to recover more quickly than stocks. Why? Because money supply and credit expansion lead productive GDP growth, and in some cases as we have now to a much greater degree than normal because the transmission mechanism between credit and the real economy is broken, with a heavy tax placed on new money by the outsized financial sector.

This is how it also happened in the Crash of 1929 and the decline of US equities and valuations into the trough in 1933. And it will most likely happen like this again even when there is a recovery with reform. I expect that reform to entail a significant restructuring of US debt, the international money reserves and arrangements, and of course the dollar.

*Could* something else happen? Yes, and in that case I would do something else. That is what is called decision making based on data, not speculating on nonsensical quackery, ignoring the data until you run out of enough money to play the game.

If there is a waterfall decline in stocks, which is a possibility, I would expect to have my trading account weighted to the short side by the time it gets underway, and make a significant sum of money as I have done the last two times this happened in the past ten years. I would expect not to touch any of my long term gold and silver holdings and take the charges of turning over long term assets. I will not touch them until something fundamentally changes in the makeup of the dollar based money system.

Trying to get positioned well ahead of improbable events is generally pretty dumb, the hallmark of an amateur, but especially if you use financial instruments like triple ETFs with lots of valuation slippage and take them as long term positions almost guaranteeing a loss even if you are eventually right.

Yes anything can happen, but as Walter Bagehot so appropriately observed, 'Life is a school of probability.'








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Alt 15.04.2011, 09:47   #8168
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Goodbye $42...

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/14/2011 16:10 -0400



Silver is now trading at $42.10: the highest price since 1981, and ever closer to the all time Hunt Brother high, which is now just over $8 away. At this rate, and if Bolivia indeed nationalizes its silver mines, we give it a month for a new all time notional high in the metal.

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Alt 15.04.2011, 17:53   #8169
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A Run On the Central Bank of Belarus in Devaluation Fear Forces Halt to All Gold Sales

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspo...rus-forces.html
"Destroyers seize gold and leave to its owners a counterfeit pile of paper. This kills all objective standards and delivers men into the arbitrary power of an arbitrary setter of values. Gold was an objective value, an equivalent of wealth produced. Paper is a mortgage on wealth that does not exist, backed by a gun aimed at those who are expected to produce it. Paper is a check drawn by legal looters upon an account which is not theirs: upon the virtue of the victims. Watch for the day when it bounces, marked, ‘Account overdrawn.’

Ayn Rand
I was a little surprised the people fled to gold and tried to drain the central bank, desperately trying to get out of their fiat currency ahead of a suspected devaluation.

This is how it happens, on a smaller scale.

I was in Moscow in the 1990's when they were starting to flee the Russian rouble for gold, diamonds, US dollars, and vodka. It is hard to imagine what it feels like to watch your life savings simply and relentlessly evaporate away. It was a 'quiet panic' that left a very deep impression on me.

Apparently the US dollar is no longer so much a safe haven in that part of the world. At least that is what I hear.

Belarus is small. When a bigger ship starts to founder, the lifeboats may be very crowded.

It cannot happen. The authorities will not allow it. This is what they always say.

In some ways it is already happening.

The Feds are already rationing and throttling gold and silver sales by throwing paper and propaganda at the demand.

I wonder how much of it has been secretly siphoned away by insiders already. The time to buy income producing fixed assets is when there is 'blood flowing in the streets,' but the time to get safe and independently liquid is before that blood starts to flow.

Big things are happening, little brother.
Reuters
Belarus Central Bank Halts Sales of Gold for Roubles

MINSK, April 15 (Reuters) - Belarus' central bank has stopped selling gold to local retail customers for Belarussian roubles it said on Friday, after demand for precious metals soared due to expectations of a currency devaluation.

The bank did not explain its decision.

Belarus is in talks with Russia on a $3 billion bailout package that Minsk hopes will help it avoid a painful devaluation of the rouble and offset the large current account deficit.

Belarussians bought 470 kilograms of gold from the central bank last month, up from 209 kilograms in January and February together, as they sought to protect their savings.

Analysts say that Belarus will have to eventually devalue the rouble by about 20-30 percent even if it receives aid from Moscow. However, the central bank has said it would not make any such moves until late April.

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Alt 15.04.2011, 17:57   #8170
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Alt 15.04.2011, 22:45   #8171
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Something Wicked This Way Comes - We Will Rock You


Today was a very early April options expiration for US equities, and we saw quite a few antics in the stocks. Of special interest to many were the games being played with the mining stocks.

There is intraday commentary on gold and silver and the closing of the retail gold window at the Belarus central bank here.

April is supposed to be one of the better months for stocks, but so far it has been correcting fairly steadily from the early April highs.

Gold and silver are starting to get a second wind in this breakout, and the increasing inflationary environment in the global fiat currencies, particularly the dollar, are driving them higher.

This is the latest on US inflation from John Williams at Shadowstats. John tracks the underlying inflationary trends better than anyone else that I know.
"The pace of consumer inflation is accelerating rapidly, with annual CPI-U at 2.7% and CPI-W at 3.0%, while the annualized quarterly, seasonally-adjusted inflation rates have hit 5.2% for the CPI-U and 6.0% for the CPI-W.

These higher inflation numbers are tied directly to the Federal Reserve's successful and ongoing efforts to debase the U.S. dollar, which in turn have boosted dollar-denominated commodity prices such as oil. The inflation pace here normally would be of concern to the Fed, except the U.S. central bank officially ignores inflation tied to food and energy prices, even though, again, those debilitating price increases for consumers are a direct result of Fed policy.

Of particular discomfort to consumers, this inflation has not resulted from booming economic activity and wages, but rather from Fed monetary policy in the context of stagnant/declining broad economic activity.

Inflation has gained the upper hand in retail sales, with sales gains now more than accounted for by rising prices. A pending benchmark revision (April 29th) should show a much weaker recent history for retail sales activity, as the just-published benchmark revision to industrial production did for that series...

Inflation Above 3% Tends to Rattle Consumers. Where consumers look at inflation in terms of out-of-pocket expenses, the threshold of pain has been crossed, with popularly used consumer price indices at or within one month of topping 3% annual inflation. Further, for those who do not get paid in seasonally-adjusted dollars, the 0.5% adjusted CPI-U monthly gain felt more like the 1.0% unadjusted gain."



Posted by Jesse at 4:18 PM
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Geändert von lunar (16.04.2011 um 07:32 Uhr).
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Alt 16.04.2011, 01:38   #8172
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Rick Rule - Extreme Silver Tightness Causing Delivery Problems


With gold and silver still on the move, today King World News interviewed Rick Rule, Founder of Global Resource Investor now part of the $9 billion Sprott Asset Management. Rick is known as one of the most street smart pros in the resource sector. When asked about the silver market specifically Rule...




Jim Grant - US Will Resolve Debt by Returning to Gold Standard


With so much turmoil going on around the globe, King World News interviewed one of the legends in the business, Jim Grant, Founder of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer. When asked about the Fed’s arrogance Grant responded, “I think there’s an intellectual cock-sureness that has no grounding. When you...
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Alt 16.04.2011, 01:42   #8173
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Trader Dan's Market Views




Silver - 8 hour chart update




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Alt 17.04.2011, 20:24   #8174
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Anatomy of a short squeeze

...

Silver offers the closer parallel with the London Bridge example. There are a few banks with large short positions in silver on the US futures market in quantities that simply cannot be covered by physical stock. The outstanding obligations are far larger than the stock available. The lesson from the London Bridge example is that prices in a bear squeeze can go far higher than anyone reasonably thinks possible. The short position in gold is less visible, being mainly in the unallocated accounts of the bullion banks operating in the LBMA market. But it is there nonetheless, and the bullion banks’ obligations to their bullion-unallocated account holders are far greater than the bullion they actually hold.

...

http://www.goldmoney.com/gold-resea...rt-squeeze.html
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Alt 17.04.2011, 21:42   #8175
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Financial Thought Leader James Grant explains why he believes the Federal Reserve's easy money policies will wreak havoc on the economy and markets. The dangers of inflation creep and how to protect yourself against it are the focus of this week's Consuelo Mack WealthTrack. ;








Jim Grant On Inflation: "There Will Be A Lot Of It Suddenly" Because Our Interest Rate Structure Is "Beyond Strange"
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